Saturday, June 18, 2016

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 17, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Friday, June 17, 2016:

Total Attendance: 40,135

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 33
  • Attendance: 40,135
  • Starting Pitcher: Chris Archer
  • Opponent: San Francisco Giants
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Jeff Samardzija
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,767
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 40,135
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 18,831
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 20,598
  • Promotions (if any): Pride Night
  • Other local events: Keith Urban @ MidFlorida Credit Union Amphitheater

No other local games scheduled.

Friday, June 17, 2016

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 16, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Thursday, June 16, 2016:

Total Attendance: 14,401

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 32
  • Attendance: 11,331
  • Starting Pitcher: Blake Snell
  • Opponent: Seattle Mariners
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: James Paxton
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,037
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 11,675
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 11,148
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 11,331
  • Promotions (if any): $15 Senior Thursday
  • Other local events: None

Bradenton Marauders:
  • Team Home Game #: 32
  • Attendance: 1,041
  • Starting Pitcher: Yuedy Garcia
  • Opponent: Ft Myers Miracle
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Keaton Steele
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 1,543
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 1,797
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 791
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 1,874
  • Promotions (if any): Thirsty Thursday/ Bark in the Park

Clearwater Threshers:
  • Team Home Game #: 34
  • Attendance: 2,029
  • Starting Pitcher:John Richy
  • Opponent: Dunedin Blue Jays
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Sean Reid-Foley
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 2,783
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 3,517
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 2,017
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 2,029
  • Promotions (if any): Taps and Tacos Thursday

No other local games scheduled.

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 15, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Wednesday, June 15, 2016:

Total Attendance: 15,041

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 31
  • Attendance: 12,239
  • Starting Pitcher: Drew Smyly
  • Opponent: Seattle Mariners
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Nathan Karns
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,189
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 11,847
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 12,540
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 12,629
  • Promotions (if any): $2 Hot Dog Wednesday
  • Other local events: None

Tampa Yankees:
  • Team Home Game #: 33
  • Attendance: 813
  • Starting Pitcher: Domingo Acevedo
  • Opponent: St Lucie Mets
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Corey Oswalt
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 1,422
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 869
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 756
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 813
  • Promotions (if any): Kids Eat Free Wednesday

Clearwater Threshers:
  • Team Home Game #: 33
  • Attendance: 1,989
  • Starting Pitcher: Shane Watson
  • Opponent: Bradenton Marauders
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Corey Brewer
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 2,807
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 2,114
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 1,673
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 2,695
  • Promotions (if any): Senior Day

No other local games scheduled.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

People will come to Pride Night, Rays. People will come.

I've discussed the Orlando area on this website a few times. On one hand, according to my estimate, there are 300,000 Rays fans in the Orlando area. On the other, getting from Downtown Orlando to Tropicana Field for a weekday game can take upwards of two hours.

Despite the distance, the Rays are the closest Major League Baseball team to Orlando. Although a few teams still spring train in the Orlando area, there isn't even Minor League Baseball in Orlando. It is the biggest metropolitan area without baseball in the United States.

If there is a reason for sports, it is to provide a place where residents of a town or city can gather and cheer. A sports team provides a common glue that supersedes social divisions. Sports affiliation is a great unifier.

While Orlando has professional sports, the Magic of the NBA finished their season and the Orlando City Soccer Club doesn't play at home until Saturday, June 18th. In the meantime, in order to provide a welcome respite and show the caring nature of Major League Baseball, the Rays have announced many initiatives on LGBT Pride Night on Friday, June 17th that will honor the victims of the Orlando shooting and the communities it effected. According to the Rays website:
All open seats to Friday's Rays-San Francisco Giants 7:10 p.m. game at Tropicana Field will be available for $5 with 100% of proceeds from those sales benefitting the Pulse Victims Fund, set up for the families of the victims.


  • Proceeds from the team's daily 50/50 raffle will also benefit the Pulse Victims Fund and additional donation centers will be located at the ballpark.

  • OneBlood will hold blood drives at Tropicana Field starting at 4 p.m. on Friday and 2 p.m. for Saturday's 4:10 game. Donors will receive a OneBlood T-shirt and a pair of tickets to a future Rays game.

  • The National Anthem and God Bless America will performed by Una Voce, the Florida Men's Chorale.

  • There will be a video pre-recorded by Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred.

  •  Major League Baseball's Vice President of Social Responsibility and Inclusion Billy Bean will throw out the ceremonial first pitch and Senior Vice President, Diversity and Strategic Alliances Wendy Lewis will also be in attendance.

  • The Rays and Giants will also observe a moment of silence while the names of the Orlando shooting victims will be scrolled on the video board.

  • Parking will be $5 in Rays controlled parking lots.

This is a major initiative by the Rays. But one that does come with some risks. Friday attendance has been poor recently, more similar to Monday through Thursday averages than Saturday or Sunday average attendance. This may be because fans still have to fight traffic to get to the ballpark on Friday as they do other weekdays.

On the other hand, $5 tickets. Rays fans, no matter where they live, can easily buy multiple seats. Especially if they know 100% of the proceeds will be going to victims' funds. There is a very good chance the kindness of the people of Tampa Bay could cause this game to sell out, whether or not fans actually go to the game.

(If scalpers or anyone on the secondary market tries to sell a ticket to this game for more than $5 and gain profit off a charitable endeavor, they are not fans of baseball or humanity. They are scum.)

Baseball has a history of being a great gathering place after tragedy. Whether at Fenway Park after the Boston Bombings or Shea Stadium after 9/11, people have come to celebrate their communities and the commonalities through baseball.

Although attendance hasn't been stellar this season (albeit better than last), in this moment when it's money they have, but peace they lack, people will come, Rays. People will come.

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 14, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Tuesday, June 14, 2016:

Total Attendance: 15,881

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 30
  • Attendance: 11,455
  • Starting Pitcher: Jake Odorizzi
  • Opponent: Seattle Mariners
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,320
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 11,455
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 11,921
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 16,225
  • Promotions (if any): $2 Kids Tuesday
  • Other local events: None

Tampa Yankees:
  • Team Home Game #: 32
  • Attendance: 941
  • Starting Pitcher: Ian Clarkin
  • Opponent: St Lucie Mets
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Andrew Church
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 1,443
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 898
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 823
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 1,955
  • Promotions (if any): 2 for 1 Tuesday

Clearwater Threshers:
  • Team Home Game #: 32
  • Attendance: 3,485
  • Starting Pitcher: Ranfi Casimiro
  • Opponent: Bradenton Marauders
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Austin Coley
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 2,833
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 2,156
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 3,473
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 3,132
  • Promotions (if any): $1 Tuesday

No other local games scheduled.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 13, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Monday, June 13, 2016:

Total Attendance: 2,273

Tampa Yankees:
  • Team Home Game #: 30 / 31
  • Attendance: 855
  • Starting Pitcher: Josh Rogers / Will Carter
  • Opponent: St Lucie Mets
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Chris Flexen / Scarlyn Reyes
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 1,461
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 855
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 783
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 1,113 / 838
  • Promotions (if any): 1/2 Price Monday
  • Other local events: None

Clearwater Threshers:
  • Team Home Game #: 31
  • Attendance: 1,418
  • Starting Pitcher: Yackel Rios
  • Opponent: Bradenton Marauders
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Stephen Tarpley
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 2,811
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 1,492
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 1,516
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 2,039
  • Promotions (if any): Feeding Frenzy Monday

No other local games scheduled.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Using Rays Game 27 attendance to predict final attendance

Last year, I wrote a post that looked at Rays Game 27 attendance and how it compared to end of the season attendance. I used Game 27 as it is the 1/3 point of the season. I wanted to see how much Rays attendance varies from the 1/3 point to the end of the season.

Turns out, not much.

Last year, however, the Rays saw their biggest increase in attendance from the 1/3 point to the end of the season since 2008.




The circumstances surrounding 2008 and 2015 could not have been more different, however. In 2008, the Rays saw a huge bump due to their playoff run. In 2015, attendance increased over the final 54 games because hockey season was over and area sports fans started attending Rays games again. In 2015, the Rays had four games on the same date as Tampa Bay Lightning playoff games.

Interestingly, 2015 was the first year since 2007 that Rays attendance increased over the final 54 games and the Rays did not make the playoffs. They had done so in 2008, 2010, 2011, and 2013.

This graph depicts Rays attendance at Game 27 and final Rays attendance.




This year, the Rays reached Game 27 on Friday, June 10th. This is the latest in the season they reached their 27th home game in 10 years.




With attendance at Game 27 being a good indicator for what the final average attendance, we can create a range of final expected average attendance for the Rays in 2016.

The highest post-Game 27 increase came in 2015. Using that 5.1% increase:
  • 16,568 x 105.1% = 17,412
  • 17,412 x 81 games = 1,410,450

The lowest post-Game 27 decrease came in 2014. Using that 3% decrease:
  • 16,568 x 97% = 16,070
  • 16,070 x 81 games = 1,301,747

Only a difference of 108,703. The biggest factor could be if the Rays are in the contention for a playoff spot.

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 12, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Sunday, June 12, 2016:

Total Attendance: 12,733

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 29
  • Attendance: 11,168
  • Starting Pitcher: Matt Moore
  • Opponent: Houston Astros
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Dallas Kuechel
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,488
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 14,633
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 21,755
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 15,402
  • Promotions (if any): Giveaway hat day
  • Other local events: None

Tampa Yankees:
  • Team Home Game #: 31
  • Attendance: Postponed (rain)
  • Opponent: St Lucie Mets

Clearwater Threshers:
  • Team Home Game #: 30
  • Attendance: 1,565
  • Starting Pitcher: Elniery Garcia
  • Opponent: Bradenton Marauders
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Jonathan Brubaker
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 2,859
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 1,565
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 1,507
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 2,728
  • Promotions (if any): Brunch at the Park

No other local games scheduled.

Sunday, June 12, 2016

Star Wars sign on Star Wars Day leads to Fan Ejection at Tropicana Field



Saturday, June 11 was Star Wars Day at Tropicana Field. The Rays have done this promotion for a few years and it is always popular with the fanbase. This year, however, a fan sign at Star Wars Day caused a disturbance in the Force and turned Tropicana Field security into the Evil Empire.

From the beginning of the game, a fan displayed his "Alderaan was an inside job" sign along the left center Porch area. The sign references a popular meme in the Star Wars Universe and is a satire on American politics. The phrase is similar in Star Wars fandom to the "Death Star was an inside job" and "Solo shot first".


Unfortunately for the fan and his friends, by the fifth inning, Tropicana Field security told him to remove the sign and not display it again. When he asked security why his sign couldn't be displayed, they did not give a clear reason. After a half inning of deliberation, the fan decided to again display his sign. 10 minutes later, security informed him he had to leave the stadium. His three friends followed him out.

When I personally asked the security people if they knew the meaning of his sign, they admitted they did not.

According to the "A-Z Ballpark Guide" webpage for Tropicana Field, signs are allowed and permitted.
BANNERS AND SIGNS - Banners, signs and flags (without flag poles) may be displayed in the stadium, provided that they are baseball-related and do not contain profanity, discriminatory language, indecent images, political statements, or commercial references. Banners, signs, and flags must be hand-held and may not be hung on any of the outfield walls, over the playing field walls, over existing stadium signage, or held in such a way as to obstruct other guests' views. Management reserves the right to remove any sign or banner at any time.
Granted, "Alderaan was an inside job" is not baseball-related. But it is in line with the marketing promotion designed to bring fans to the stadium. It is a Star Wars-related sign.

Is it political? Possibly. But only in the realm of the Star Wars and the promotion. It is no different than a "Vote for Chewbacca" or a "Down with the Empire" sign. It is part of Star Wars fandom.

The Star Wars promotion openly disregards other Tropicana Field rules, especially in regards to sticks and poles. According to the rules,
BATS AND BROOMS - Bats and brooms are allowed inside the stadium. Once inside, fans will not be allowed to display such items if they impede another guest's view or become a safety issue. Sticks and/or poles of any other type are not permitted at any time.
No other sticks and poles are permitted. So all the lightsabers brought in by kids should not have been allowed.

Promotional events are for fans to have fun. Not allowing fans to bring in signs related to the promotion is counter to the intent of the promotion. I would guess the fan and his friends did not come to Tropicana Field to ruffle the feathers of security. They came to enjoy a baseball game and enjoy being Star Wars fans among other baseball-enjoying Star Wars fans.

This also brings to question Tropicana Field's security process. The fan mostly likely had his sign when he was screened prior to entering the stadium and he mostly likely had it when he used his ticket to enter the stadium. No one at those checkpoints prevented him from bringing in his sign. He did not create the sign in the stadium. So if the sign was in violation, why was he not prevented from bringing it inside?

Ejecting a fan from Tropicana Field for a sign that is in line with a promotion shows very poor judgement by the Tropicana Field security team. Overbearing security is not how you grow a fanbase. The Rays should contact the fan, apologize, and offer he and his friends four free tickets to another weekend game this season.

Then they should educate their security personnel on Star Wars memes. If they want me to teach a class, I can be there in less than 12 parsecs.

Tampa Bay Baseball Attendance Report - June 11, 2016

Tampa Bay baseball attendance for Saturday, June 11, 2016:

Total Attendance: 22,872

Tampa Bay Rays:
  • Team Home Game #: 28
  • Attendance: 19,658
  • Starting Pitcher: Chris Archer
  • Opponent: Houston Astros
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Mike Fiers
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 16,678
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 16,366
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 22,680
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 17,342
  • Promotions (if any): Star Wars Day
  • Other local events: None

Bradenton Marauders:
  • Team Home Game #: 31
  • Attendance: 2,550
  • Starting Pitcher: Yeudy Garcia
  • Opponent: Tampa Yankees
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: James Reeves
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 1,560
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 1,237
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 2,660
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 2,041
  • Promotions (if any): Military Appreciation Night / Craft Beer Night

Dunedin Blue Jays:
  • Team Home Game #: 33
  • Attendance: 664
  • Starting Pitcher: Justin Shafer
  • Opponent: St Lucie Mets
  • Opponent Starting Pitcher: Ricky Knapp
  • Avg Attendance to Date: 735
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent: 654
  • Avg Attendance per Day of the Week: 890
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher: 717
  • Promotions (if any): Princesses and Pirates Night

No other local games scheduled.