Sunday, February 9, 2014

Farewell to Ralph Kiner

Way back in the day, many, many, many moons ago, I watched the Mets on WWOR, Channel 9 in New York. The Mets back then were announced by Tim McCarver, who at the time was worth listening to; Steve Zabriskie, who sorta vanished; and the immortal Ralph Kiner, who had been part of the Mets broadcasting team since Day 1 back in 1962.

In the mid-1980s, when I was first getting into baseball, announcing for 25 years was a big deal, but far from a legendary accomplishment. That Kiner remained in the booth for 30 more years put the man in very rare air. Among current broadcasters, only Vin Scully in Los Angeles and formerly of Brooklyn can claim more tenure.

Sadly, on Thursday, Feb 6th, Ralph Kiner passed on to the Great Ballfield in the Sky.

It is a sad day for Mets fans. While the team had its good years, its bad years, its years of celebration, and its years of embarrassment (both on or off the field), Kiner was always there. There was never a Mets year without Ralph Kiner. A brief Youtube search brings up this clip of equally legendary Howard Cosell introducing the first ever Mets broadcast in Spring Training 1962. Notice Cosell "throws it" to Kiner, along with his long-time partners Lindsey Nelson and Bob Murphy.



Possibly even before the first spring game, Kiner was amidst the Mets at their former training facility in St Petersburg, Florida. Here he is discussing the upcoming inaugural season with veteran pitcher Roger Craig.



You have to love Craig's optimism about a team that would lose 120 games. But that's baseball. And Ralph Kiner definitely was baseball. Hard to imagine 1962 was 51 years ago.

Here is one more video. Following the news of his death, SNY contacted Vin Scully to discuss his memories of Ralph Kiner. Scully talks almost as much about Kiner's 10 year big league career in the 1950s as he does about Kiner's broadcasting career. But when he does comment on Kiner's booth ability, he has nothing but high praise.



Finally, I want to share a few links from two of the Mets sites I frequent.

Over at MetsBlog, Matthew Cerrone writes:
He made me feel like, as a young fan, I was part of a legacy. He talked about hitting, technique, race, life on the road, personalities, aging, success and failure, and everything in between. He shaped a lot of how I look at the game on field. I’m not alone. He had this impact on others, and in that way he’ll live on forever…

Over at Fear and Faith in Flushing (perhaps my favorite baseball blog on the Internet), Greg Prince writes about Kiner and his impact on Mets fans.
Ralph Kiner will not be dropping by the booth in 2014. I want to say he’s unavailable and leave it at that. It’s too tough to believe, even after he lived 91 years, that the Mets go on without him. There’s never been the Mets without Ralph Kiner calling their games or, per his more recent part-time role, interrupting them. The Ralph of whom we were treated to select innings in the SNY era was the dandiest of intermittent presences. He was a baseball sage who could address any element his partners steered his way, and in doing so, he transported his audience to bundle after bundle of games, years and personalities that nobody else was telling us about anymore. It was a gift he kept on giving, and knowing that the gifts wouldn’t always pile up under the baseball tree made them that much more precious when we were lucky enough to receive them.

Although I haven't lived in New York in quite some time, and will probably never move back, the Mets are like home to me. Like classic rock, the Mets are something I can always go back to, sing along with, and feel comfort in. My history rooting for the Mets goes back further than the Rays, further than the Seminoles, further than the Knicks, and further than my time in the military or my interest in music. As a kid, the Mets were it. My first real interest. They were the team of my Dad, of my Grandparents, and most of my friends. They were my team.

And part of that was because of Ralph Kiner.

Thursday, February 6, 2014

Welcome and what to expect



Thank you for checking out Tampa Bay Baseball Market.com. In the week we have been posting, we've seen some definite interest in our work.

I wanted to take a moment to let everyone know what we are doing and what to expect from this site. I might rehash some of what is mentioned in the introduction, but the message here will be much different.

As you might have noticed, we have begun laying the groundwork on Tampa Bay Rays attendance data. We have already looked at 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010. Next week, we will look at 2011, 2012, and 2013. Then in the week following, we will put it all together. We will look at all of our categories (By Day, By Month, By Opponent, By Starting Pitcher, and By Promotion) across all seven years of reviews. We will be able to tell what pitcher has averaged the highest or lowest attendance per day. We will tell you how much of an effect weekends have on attendance for any specific team. And we will tell you what effect, if any, winning streaks and concerts have on Rays home attendance.

After that, we should be in a position to mathematically predict the Rays 2014 attendance based on past results.

That will bring us into March and the middle of Spring Training. We won't be covering Spring Training attendance this year. Instead, we will lay the same groundwork we did with the Rays with the Tampa Yankees, Clearwater Threshers, Dunedin Blue Jays, and Bradenton Marauders. We will look at those teams' average attendance from 2007 to 2013 by Day, by Month, by Opponent, by Starting Pitcher, and by Promotion.

By the end of March, we hope to put all these charts and tables together and tell you what, if any, effect the Minor League teams have on Rays attendance.

In the first week of April, we will switch gears from the past to the present. Once the regular season starts, we will publish daily attendance posts with much of the criteria we used in the annual reviews. We'll keep running logs of attendance by criteria.

Once the season starts going and we get into a rhythm, between those daily posts we will try to bring you a post or two a week on the demographics and economics of Tampa Bay and detail some of venues competing with baseball for dollars.

And we will always try to have a video up for every statistical measurement we make.

So to those who have checked us out so far, thank you. Please spread the word. It will be a fun summer.

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Attendance Review: 2010 Tampa Bay Rays

This is the fourth of a series of attendance reviews we will do on this site. Today we will look at the home attendance of the 2010 Tampa Bay Rays.

For a look at the 2009 Rays attendance, click here. For a look at the 2008 Rays attendance, click here. For a look at the 2007 Devil Rays attendance, click here.

(Up % = Percentage of games where attendance for that variable was higher than the previous game at Tropicana Field. For example, if Monday attendance was 18,000 and Tuesday was 18,001, Tuesday = up. Also, if 10,000 fans attended a James Shields game and 15,000 fans attended a David Price game the next day, Price = up. Opening Day is neither up nor down.)

Total attendance: 1,865,002

Average: 23,024.72

Highest attended games: 6 x 36,973 (Opening Day 4/6 vs BAL, 7/30 vs NYY, 7/31 vs NYY, 8/1 vs NYY, 8/28 vs BOS, 8/29 vs BAL)

Lowest attended game: 10,691 on April 28 vs OAK.

Low point of average attendance: July 28, Game 49 (21,780)
Breakdown:

(yellow highlights = below annual average of 23,024.72)

By Month:



By Day:




By Opponent:




By Starting Pitcher:




By Promotion:




Day Game/Night Game Splits:


Tuesday, February 4, 2014

Attendance Review: 2009 Tampa Bay Rays

This is the third of a series of attendance reviews we will do on this site. Today we look at the home attendance of the 2009 Tampa Bay Rays.

For a look at the 2008 Rays attendance, click here. For a look at the 2007 Devil Rays attendance, click here.

(Up % = Percentage of games where attendance for that variable was higher than the previous game at Tropicana Field. For example, if Monday attendance was 18,000 and Tuesday was 18,001, Tuesday = up. Also, if 10,000 fans attended a James Shields game and 15,000 fans attended a David Price game the next day, Price = up. Opening Day is neither up nor down.)

Total attendance: 1,874,962

Average: 23,147.68

Highest attended games: 4 x 36,973 (Opening Day 4/13 vs NYY, 4/14 vs NYY, 8/1 vs KC, 9/5 vs DET)

Lowest attended game: 10,349 on Sept vs BAL.

Low point of average attendance: June 12, Game 31 (22,446)

Breakdown:

(yellow highlights = below annual average of 23,148)

By Month:




By Day of the Week:




By Opponent:




By Starting Pitcher:




By Promotion:




Day Game/Night Game Splits:




Attendance data from Baseball-Reference.com.

Monday, February 3, 2014

Attendance Review: 2008 Tampa Bay Rays

This is the second of a series of attendance reviews we will do on this site. Today we look at the 2008 Tampa Bay Rays season, the year the Rays dropped the "Devil", won 97 games, and made the World Series.

Background:

For a look at the 2007 Devil Rays attendance, click here.

(These numbers exclude “home” games played at the Disney Wide World of Sports from April 22-24, 2008.)

(Up % = Percentage of games where attendance for that variable was higher than the previous game at Tropicana Field. For example, if Monday attendance was 18,000 and Tuesday was 18,001, Tuesday = up. Also, if 10,000 fans attended a James Shields game and 15,000 fans attended a Scott Kazmir game the next day, Kazmir = up. Opening Day is neither up nor down.)

Total attendance: 1,785,458

Average: 22,890.49

Highest attended games: 8 x 36,048 (Opening Day 4/8 vs Seattle, 4/26 vs Boston, 5/31 vs Chicago AL, 7/2 vs Boston, 8/2 vs Detroit, 9/17 vs Boston, 9/20 vs Minnesota, 9/21 vs Minnesota)

Lowest attended game: 10,511 on May 27 vs Texas.

Low point of average attendance: April 20, Game 11 (17,749.09)



Breakdown:

(yellow highlights = below annual average of 22,890.49)

By Month:



(This post will not explore attendance during the 2008 post-season. That will be examined in a future post.)

By Day:




By Opponent:




By Starting Pitcher:




By Promotion:




Day Game/Night Game Splits:




(Note: All Sunday games (13) were day games. Two Saturday games were day games.)

Total Win/Loss "Up %":


Sunday, February 2, 2014

Attendance Review: 2007 Tampa Bay Devil Rays

This is the first of a series of attendance reviews we will do on this site. We are going to start with 2007, the last year of the Devil Rays era, the second year of new Rays (then-Devil Rays) ownership, the second year of Joe Maddon’s managerial tenure, and the last year the Devil Rays lost over 90 games.

Background:

From 1998-2006, the Devil Rays drew 12,617,125 fans to Tropicana Field. This excludes the 110,000 fans the Devil Rays and Yankees drew to the two “home” games played in the Tokyo Dome in 2004. During this nine-year span, the Devil Rays averaged 1,401,903 fans per season at Tropicana Field. The highest attended year was the inaugural year of 1998 (2,506,903) and the lowest was 2003 (1,058,695). The dismal 2003 attendance was 24.5% less than the 1998-2006 average and 42% of the 1998 total.

I feel safe starting this series of attendance reviews in 2007 for two primary reasons:

1) In 2007, 1,360,676 fans attended games at Tropicana Field. This excludes three games played at Disney’s Wide World of Sports (26,927 fans). The 2007 Tropicana Field attendance is 97.1% of the 1998-2006 average. Close enough to not have to go back any further. Besides the inaugural attendance number, there are no outliers in attendance.

2) The Devil Rays record in 2007 was 66-96, nearly identical to their average 1998-2006 record of 65-97. Again, close enough to not have to back any further. There are no outliers in the win-loss record. The only other exploration I could do would be how attendance varies among 90-100 loss teams. I don’t believe that’s worth exploring at the present moment.

Now that we have laid the Namoli-era foundation, we can explore attendance during the Stu Sternberg and Matt Silverman era. We begin in 2007.

(Again, these numbers exclude “home” games played at the Disney Wide World of Sports from May 15-17, 2007.)

(Up % = Percentage of games where attendance for that variable was higher than the previous game at Tropicana Field. For example, if Monday attendance was 18,000 and Tuesday was 18,001, Tuesday = up. Also, if 10,000 fans attended a Casey Fossum game and 15,000 fans attended a Scott Kazmir game the next day, Kazmir = up. Opening Day is neither up nor down.)

Total attendance: 1,386,229

Average: 17,465.24

Highest attended game: Opening Day (38,437). 3 x 36,048 (July 14, 15 vs New York; July 28 vs Boston)

Lowest attended game: 8,440 on May 23 vs Seattle.

Low point of average attendance: June 13, Game 35 (14,439.66)

Breakdown:

(yellow highlights = below annual average of 17,465.24)



By Month:



By Day:



By Opponent:



By Starting Pitcher:



By Promotion:



Day Game/Night Game Splits:





(Note: All 2007 Sunday games were day games. All 2007 Saturday games were night games.)

Total Win/Loss "Up %":



Saturday, January 11, 2014

Dunedin Blue Jays probably not moving to West Palm Beach

While I am still setting up shop here and researching for future posts, here is another bit of news that caught my eye.

According to the Palm Beach Post (h/t MetsBlog), the Palm Beach Gardens City Council ordered the end of construction on a new spring training stadium. The proposed stadium would have be a new spring home for the Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros and possibly new home for the Dunedin Blue Jays.

From the Palm Beach Post:
The motion by council member Joe Russo in a city hall auditorium packed with 250 people, passed 4-1 with council member David Levy in the minority. Opponents of the stadium location, wearing red shirts, gave Russo a standing ovation.

Had the move happened, it would have spread out both the Grapefruit League and the Florida State League, which are both very Tampa-centric, to the dismay of teams on the east coast who have long travel times. Dunedin is also near the bottom of Florida State attendance, both in total attendees and per game average. A change in location might change that.

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

My Vote for the 50 Best Players not in the Baseball Hall of Fame

The baseball world announced today that pitchers Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine, and first baseman Frank Thomas will be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame this summer. All three are definitely qualified, with long, accomplished careers.

While the aforementioned will be inducted, baseball still struggles with a long line of candidates who played during the "PED era" of the 1990s and early 2000s - an era marked with high steroid and other performance drug use. Throughout the baseball blogosphere and twittersphere, numerous writers have offered points and counter-points on what the Hall of Fame should do about the issue.

Unfortunately, the Hall of Fame has done nothing, frustrating writers and fans alike.

At the blog Baseball Past and Present, writer Graham Womack came up with a different approach. For the fourth year, he polled his readers to select the 50 best players not in the Hall of Fame. When I offered to be a part of this year's effort, Graham sent me a list of over 500 retired players spanning from the early days of baseball through the Negro Leagues, the Japanese Leagues, to players of the current era. The only caveat is they had to be out of baseball for five years - the same qualification used by the Hall of Fame.

Going through Graham's ballot took me over a week. Although I thought I was knowledgeable about my baseball history, there were numerous names I never heard of. Baseball-Reference.com and other baseball history sites were a huge help as I researched every name I didn't know. I took the ballot very seriously.

After compiling over 200 ballots, Graham published the results on his site on Monday. It's a long but great read.

My ballot was quite different than the final results. Here are my picks for the 50 Best Players not in the Baseball Hall of Fame (My Hall choice/final result).
  1. Jeff Bagwell - Yes/Yes
  2. Roger Clemens - Yes/Yes
  3. Barry Bonds - Yes/Yes
  4. Charlie Finley - Yes/Did not make list
  5. Tom Glavine - Yes/Yes
  6. Shoeless Joe Jackson - Yes/Yes
  7. Greg Maddux - Yes/Yes
  8. Minnie Minoso - Yes/Yes
  9. Mike Mussina - Yes/Yes
  10. Buck O'Neill - Yes/Did not make list
  11. Sadaharu Oh - Yes/Did not make list
  12. Tim Raines - Yes/Yes
  13. Pete Rose - Yes/Yes
  14. Frank Thomas - Yes/Yes
  15. Buzz Arlett - Yes/Did not make list
  16. Mike Piazza - Yes/Yes
  17. Tip O'Neill - Yes/Did not make list
  18. Craig Biggio - Yes/Yes
  19. Ollie Carnegie - Yes/Did not make list
  20. Jim Creighton - Yes/Did not make list
  21. Edgar Martinez - Yes/Yes
  22. Oliver Marcelle - Yes/Did not make list
  23. Newt Allen - Yes/Did not make list
  24. Victor Starffin - Yes/Did not make list
  25. Rafael Palmeiro - No/Yes
  26. Sammy Sosa - No/Yes
  27. Mark McGwire - No/Yes
  28. Pete Browning - Yes/Did not make list
  29. Dave Orr - Yes/Did not make list
  30. Charley Keller - No/Did not make list
  31. Gavy Cravath - No/Did not make list
  32. Charley Jones - Yes/Did not make list
  33. Dick Allen - Yes/Yes
  34. Albert Belle - No/Did not make list
  35. Maury Wills - No/Did not make list
  36. Bernie Williams - No/Did not make list
  37. Harry Stovey - Yes/Did not make list
  38. Isao Harimoto - Yes/Did not make list
  39. Smead Jolley - No/Did not make list
  40. Gil Hodges - Yes/Yes
  41. Masaichi Kaneda - Yes/Did not make list
  42. Jim Kaat - No/Yes
  43. Benny Kauff - No/Did not make list
  44. Jeff Kent - No/Yes
  45. Fred McGriff - No/Yes
  46. Ross Barnes - Yes/Did not make list
  47. Dave Concepcion - No/Did not make list
  48. Chuck Foster - Yes/Did not make list
  49. Curt Flood - Yes/Did not make list
  50. Bud Fowler - Yes/Did not make list
  51. Don Mattingly - No/No
  52. Jack Morris - No/No
  53. Alejandro Oms - Yes/Did not make list
  54. Home Run Johnson - Yes/Did not make list

As you can see, quite a few differences. I found many Negro League players and olde-time players I thought needed more recognition than they currently receive, so they made it on my list as Hall recommendations. Maybe one day the Hall of Fame will have a batch recognition of names from the past.

I also leaned heavily on international names. I would like to see the Baseball Hall of Fame become a global museum and induct players from the Japanese League, Mexican League, and other foreign organizations. That would not only be good for baseball's international popularity, it would also make Cooperstown a global tourist destination, which is good for business. Although many might say the levels of competition between those leagues and the American Major Leagues were too different, my argument is that not every Negro League player was Major League caliber. There is no doubt Josh Gibson homered against some inferior talent and he is a Hall of Famer. I believe the same standard should be held to Japanese, Mexican, and Cuban League players from generations ago. Those players could not go to the Major Leagues as easily as they can now.

There were also five names I don't think are Hall of Famers that a majority of those polled do think should have a plaque in Cooperstown: Rafael Palmeiro, Sammy Sosa, Fred McGriff, Jeff Kent, and Jim Kaat. Palmeiro and Sosa both tested positive for steroids. In their case, I knocked 25% off their career stats, which made them borderline at best. Do the same for Bonds, Clemens, and several others and they still have great enough stats. Palmeiro and Sosa do not. McGriff, Kent, and Kaat had long and distinguished careers, but I don't believe they were great enough.

Finally, you are probably wondering why there are 54 names when I was only instructed to pick 50. That's because I can't keep track very well and confused myself on the print out and wrote the same number next to two different names four times. But on the online form I only voted for 50.

Tuesday, January 7, 2014

Tampa Yankees probably not moving to Ocala

I didn't want to get into too much news just yet as this site hasn't been on its feet for very long, but this is kinda important. According to the Citrus County Chronicle, the Tampa Yankees will probably not be moving to Ocala, Florida after the 2016 season. In October of 2013, the City of Ocala and the Tampa Yankees had revealed a plan to move the team an hour north and build a new stadium off Interstate 75.

The Chronicle states opposition grew for the project, which would have meant building not only a stadium, but access roads, ramps, and other construction.
At a work session held at the Ocala Livestock Pavilion, an overwhelming number of speakers were in favor of the project, with members of the business community and Chamber and Economic Partnership leading the way.

However, at almost all the subsequent County Commission meetings, the feelings tilted the other way, with the majority of speakers talking against the project.

Looks like the Yankees are staying in Tampa and Ocala Yearlings of 1940-1941 will remain Ocala's only representation in the annals of Minor League Baseball.

Sample Daily Attendance Post

Here is a sample post of what I intend on tracking daily for each team in the Tampa Bay area.
  • Team Home Game #:
  • Attendance:
  • Starting Pitcher:
  • Opponent's Starting Pitcher:
  • Avg Attendance to Date:
  • Avg Attendance vs Opponent:
  • Avg Attendance per day of the week:
  • Avg Attendance for Starting Pitcher:
  • Promotions (if any):
  • Other Factors (traffic accidents, conflicting events, etc):